Despite a huge growth in transport services, the energy consumption in the transport sector by 2050 can be limited to 42% under the Energy [R]evolution scenario and 47% in the advanced case compared to the reference case. Dependence on fossil fuels for 90% of this supply is transformed by using 37% biofuels and 30% electricity in the basic version.The advanced Energy [R]evolution scenario increases the share of electricity in the transport sector up to 51%, while the use of biomass and shifted partly towards the power sector and industrial heat processes.
Both Energy [R]evolution scenarios assume measures to change the current pattern of car sales, with one third in future taken up by medium-sized vehicles and more than half by small vehicles. Technical progress increases the share of hybrid vehicles to 50% (75% in the advanced version) by 2050. Incentives to use more efficient transport modes reduce vehicle kilometres travelled to an average of 11,000 km per annum.