Gas jobs grow very strongly in the Reference scenario, and while they also grow in the [R]evolution, it is less significant, particularly after 2020. Job numbers are almost the same in both scenarios,although the Revolution scenario always has slightly higher results.
Under the [R]evolution scenario electricity use is reduced by 9% in2020 compared to the Reference case, and by 16% by 2030. The Reference case has slightly higher employment in energy supply jobs in both 2020 and 2030, as may be expected with the generation so much greater, but this is outweighed by the increase in energy efficiency jobs.
Africa is an important gas exporter, with exports accounting for 40% of fuel supply jobs in 2010. This falls to 22% in the Reference scenario by2030, reflecting the steep increase in domestic use of fuel. The proportion of exports remains higher in the [R]evolution scenario (33% at 2030).
Africa is assumed to largely remain a technology importer in these projections, importing 30% of renewable technology in 2020 and50% in 2030. If 100% of manufacturing occurred locally in 2030there would be an additional 86,000 jobs in the [R]evolution scenario by 2030, while the same change would only create an additional 16,000 jobs in the Reference scenario.
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