Whilst Europe’s emissions of CO2 will increase by almost 20% under the Reference Scenario, under the Energy Revolution Scenario they will decrease by 75% from 3,900 million tons in 2005 to 979 million tons in 2050. Annual per capita emissions will drop from 7.9 t to 2.0 t. In spite of the phasing out of nuclear energy and increasing demand, CO2 emissions will decrease in the electricity sector.
In the long run efficiency gains and the increased use of renewable electricity and sustainable bio fuels in vehicles will even reduce CO2 emissions in the transport sector. With a share of 11% of total CO2 in 2050, the power sector will drop below transport as the largest source of emissions.
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