transport

In the transport sector, it is assumed under the Energy [R]evolution Scenario that energy demand will decrease by almost half to 8,700 PJ/a by 2050, saving 57% compared to the Reference Scenario. This reduction can be achieved by the introduction of highly efficient vehicles, by shifting the transport of goods from road to rail and by changes in behaviour patterns. By implementing attractive alternatives to individual cars, the car fleet will grow more slowly than in the Reference Scenario, reaching 235 million cars in 2050. A slight shift towards smaller cars - triggered by economic incentives coupled with a significant move towards electrified power trains and a reduction of vehicle kilometres travelled by 0.25% per year - leads to 60% final energy savings. In 2050, electricity will provide 35% of the transport sector’s total energy demand, while 21% of the demand will be covered by bio fuels.