Archive 2008

Moving from principles to action for energy supply that mitigates against climate change requires a long-term perspective. Energy infrastructure takes time to build up; new energy technologies take time to develop. Policy shifts often also need many years to take effect. In most world regions the transformation from fossil to renewable energies will require additional investment and higher supply costs over about twenty years

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archives 2008 archive regional scenarios 2008 oecd north america transport

transport

A key initiative in North America is to introduce incentives to drive smaller cars, which today are virtually non-existant. In addition, a shift to efficient modes of transport like rail, light rail and bus is important, especially in the expanding large metropolitan areas. Together with the rising price of fossil fuels, these changes reduce the huge growth in car sales projected by the Reference Scenario. In the Energy [R]evolution Scenario, the car fleet still grows by 20% from the year 2000 to 2050. However the energy demand of the transport sector is reduced by 47%. Highly efficient propulsion technology, including hybrid, plug-in hybrid and battery-electric powertrains, will bring large efficiency gains. A quarter of the transport energy demand by 2050 is covered by electricity, 30% by bio fuels.