Energy Blue Print
Archive 2010

Moving from principles to action for energy supply that mitigates against climate change requires a long-term perspective. Energy infrastructure takes time to build up; new energy technologies take time to develop. Policy shifts often also need many years to take effect. In most world regions the transformation from fossil to renewable energies will require additional investment and higher supply costs over about twenty years

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transport

Despite a huge growth in transport services, the energy consumption in the transport sector by 2050 can be limited to 42% under the Energy [R]evolution scenario and 47% in the advanced case compared to the reference case. Dependence on fossil fuels for 90% of this supply is transformed by using 37% biofuels and 30% electricity in the basic version.The advanced Energy [R]evolution scenario increases the share of electricity in the transport sector up to 51%, while the use of biomass and shifted partly towards the power sector and industrial heat processes.

Both Energy [R]evolution scenarios assume measures to change the current pattern of car sales, with one third in future taken up by medium-sized vehicles and more than half by small vehicles. Technical progress increases the share of hybrid vehicles to 50% (75% in the advanced version) by 2050. Incentives to use more efficient transport modes reduce vehicle kilometres travelled to an average of 11,000 km per annum.

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