Energy Blue Print
Archive 2010

Moving from principles to action for energy supply that mitigates against climate change requires a long-term perspective. Energy infrastructure takes time to build up; new energy technologies take time to develop. Policy shifts often also need many years to take effect. In most world regions the transformation from fossil to renewable energies will require additional investment and higher supply costs over about twenty years

development of CO2 emissions

While CO2 emissions in OECD Europe will decrease by 5% in the Reference scenario by 2050, under the Energy [R]evolution Scenario they will decrease from 4,017 million tonnes in 2007 to 850 million t in 2050. Annual per capita emissions will drop from 7.4 t to 1.5 t. In spite of the phasing out of nuclear energy and increasing demand, CO2 emissions will decrease in the electricity sector. In the long run efficiency gains and the increased use of renewable electricity in vehicles will reduce emissions in the transport sector. With a share of 7% of total CO2 in 2050, the power sector will drop below transport and other sectors as the largest sources of emissions.

The advanced Energy [R]evolution scenario reduces energy related CO2 emissions about 10 to 15 years faster than the Energy [R]evolution scenario, leading to 3.4 t per capita by 2030 and 0.4 t by 2050. By 2050, OECD Europe ́s CO2 emissions are 5% of 1990 levels.