Energy Blue Print
Archive 2010

Moving from principles to action for energy supply that mitigates against climate change requires a long-term perspective. Energy infrastructure takes time to build up; new energy technologies take time to develop. Policy shifts often also need many years to take effect. In most world regions the transformation from fossil to renewable energies will require additional investment and higher supply costs over about twenty years

archives2010 archiveregionalmiddle eastheat and cooling supply

heat and cooling supply

Renewables currently provide only 1% of primary energy demand for heat and cooling supply in the Middle East, the main contribution coming from the use of biomass and solar collectors. Dedicated support instruments are required to ensure a continuously dynamic development of renewables in the heat market.
In the Energy [R]evolution scenario, renewables provide 84% of the Middle East’s total heating and cooling demand in 2050.

  • Energy efficiency measures can restrict the future primary energy demand for heat and cooling supply to a doubling rather than tripling, in spite of improving living standards.
  • In the industry sector solar collectors, biomass/biogas as well as geothermal energy are increasingly substituting for conventional fossil-fuelled heating systems.

In the Energy [R]evolution scenario 2,005 PJ/a is saved by 2050, or 17% compared to the Reference scenario.The advanced Energy [R]evolution version introduces renewable heating systems around five years ahead of the basic scenario. Solar collectors and geothermal heating systems achieve economies of scale via ambitious support programmes five to ten years earlier, resulting in a renewables share of 33% by 2030 and 97% by 2050.

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