Energy Blue Print
Archive 2010

Moving from principles to action for energy supply that mitigates against climate change requires a long-term perspective. Energy infrastructure takes time to build up; new energy technologies take time to develop. Policy shifts often also need many years to take effect. In most world regions the transformation from fossil to renewable energies will require additional investment and higher supply costs over about twenty years

primary energy consumption

Taking into account the assumptions discussed above, the resulting primary energy consumption under the Energy [R]evolution scenario is shown in Figure 6.76. Compared to the Reference Scenario, overall energy demand will be reduced by 34% in 2050. Around 49% of the remaining demand will be covered by renewable energy sources.

The advanced scenario phases out coal and oil about 10 to 15 years faster than the Energy [R]evolution scenario. Main reasons for this is a replacement of new coal power plants with renewables after 20 years rather than 40 years lifetime in the Energy [R]evolution scenario and a faster introduction of electric vehicles in the transport sector to replace oil combustion engines.This leads to a renewable energy share of 49% in 2030 and 78% in 2050. Nuclear energy is phased out in both Energy [R]evolution scenarios just after 2030.