development of CO2 emissions

Whilst Other Developing Asia’s emissions of CO2 will increase by 158% under the Reference scenario, under the Energy [R]evolution scenario they will decrease from 1,488 million tonnes in 2007 to 1,085 mt in 2050. Annual per capita emissions will drop from 1.5 t to 0.7 t.The advanced Energy [R]evolution scenario will induce a faster reduction of energy related CO2 emissions than in the basic version, leading to 1.1 t per capita by 2030 - 10 years earlier than in the basis version and 0.3 t by 2050. By 2050, Other Developing Asia’s CO2 emissions are 62% of 1990 levels.

In spite of the phasing out of nuclear energy and increasing demand in the Energy [R]evolution scenario, CO2 emissions will decrease in the electricity sector. In the long run efficiency gains and the increased use of renewable electricity in vehicles will even reduce CO2 emissions in the transport sector. With a share of 55% of total CO2 in 2050, the transport sector will remain the largest source of emissions.